Volume IV · No. 132
Internal — Partners Only
Compiled 20:35 UTC
Grand Canal
Morning Market Intelligence · Tuesday, 12 May 2026
15 sources · 15 fetchers OK
Coverage: UK · IE · EZ · US
Latency 27.6s · Next 13/05 06:00
ECB Dep.
2.00%
hold · Jun '25
BoE Base
3.75%
hold · May '26
UK 10Y
4.87%
+3 bp
IE 10Y
3.20%
-27 bp / Bund
FTSE 100
10,265
-0.8%
EUR/GBP
0.8671
+0.3%
UK REITs
-3%
broad selloff
Distress
8
CRE-relevant 24h

The Eurozone held its 2.00% deposit rate for an eleventh consecutive month, while the Bank of England maintained 3.75% — keeping the UK rate curve at a meaningful premium to Continental funding. Irish ten-year paper continues to trade 27 basis points inside the German Bund, the quality bid intact and a reminder of where European sovereign capital is anchored.

The session's news, however, was made in equities. London's listed real estate complex pulled back 3–4% intraday, with offices and big-box logistics leading the move. The Gazette wire delivered eight CRE-relevant insolvencies — four direct (developers, landlords), one tenant-side, three supply-chain — a higher print than the trailing twenty-day average. We read the day as a marginal repricing of UK CRE risk, not a regime shift; Irish quality remains comfortable, and Continental rates anchor.

§ 01Rates & PolicyECB · BoE · Fed · FRED

UK rate curve trades materially wide of Eurozone. Irish ten-year sits inside Bund — the quality bid intact.

Policy & Benchmark Rates

SeriesValue∆ vs priorAs of
ECB Deposit Rate2.00%— hold11 Jun '25
ECB Main Refi2.15%— hold11 Jun '25
BoE Base3.75%— hold11 May '26
Fed Funds3.63%— hold11 May '26
UK 5Y Gilt4.43%+2 bp08 May '26
UK 10Y Gilt4.87%+3 bp08 May '26
SONIA O/N3.73%flat08 May '26
Irish 10Y3.20%-1 bpMar '26
German 10Y Bund3.46%flatApr '26
IE – DE Spread-27 bpstable

Global 10Y Yield Curve · Mapped 0–5%

Ireland3.20%
Germany3.46%
United States4.42%
United Kingdom4.87%

Read

The UK trades roughly 167 bp wide of Ireland. For a GCCP cross-border deal the funding-cost spread is now the dominant variable — Irish acquisitions financed off Bund-pegged paper retain a meaningful structural advantage.

§ 02Equities · FX · VolatilityYahoo · FRED

Indices · Europe

FTSE 10010,265.32-0.8%
FTSE 25022,466.20-1.2%
ISEQ Overall12,476.99+0.3%
Euro Stoxx 505,808.45-0.4%
DAX23,954.93-0.3%

Indices · US

S&P 5007,400.96+0.2%
Nasdaq26,088.20+0.4%
Dow49,760.56+0.1%
US 10Y yld4.463+2 bp
VIX17.99+0.4

FX & Commodities

DXY98.302-0.1%
EUR/USD1.1743+0.1%
GBP/USD1.3537-0.2%
Brent107.63+1.4%
Gold4,720.70+0.6%

§ 03Listed CRE — MoversUK + IE · 1d

Broad UK REIT pullback. London office, big-box logistics, retail malls leading lower. Irish names flat-to-modestly weaker.

↓ Decliners

GPE.L-3.95%
SGRO.L-3.53%
LAND.L-3.34%
HMSO.L-3.30%
BBOX.L-3.29%
PHP.L-1.50%
SUPR.L-1.47%
GVR.IR-0.45%
IRES.IR-0.39%

↑ Advancers

RGL.L+0.23%
HSTN.L+0.18%

RNS Wire · last 24h

Yahoo · BBOX"How do these REITs keep paying spectacular dividends?"
Yahoo · SUPR"How do these REITs keep paying spectacular dividends?"

§ 04Distress — Gazette & CRO8 CRE-relevant · 24h

Eight CRE-relevant UK insolvency notices on the wire. Four direct (developers, landlords), one tenant, three supply-chain.

UK Direct · Developer
Wrightway Building Solutions Ltd
Creditors' voluntary winding-up · Liquidator appointed
UK Direct · Construction
Landor Construction Ltd
Creditors' voluntary winding-up · Liquidator appointed
UK Supply Chain · Architects
Seth Stein Architects Ltd
Creditors' voluntary winding-up · Liquidator appointed
UK Supply Chain · Engineering
Torus Engineering Ltd
Petition to wind up
UK Tenant · Retail
Felldale Retail Ltd
Notice 2442 — winding-up activity
UK Aggregate
100 notices total · 0 IE
Of which: 4 direct · 1 tenant · 3 supply-chain

§ 05Editorial · CRE-Filtered33 items · 4 material

Financial TimesCT REIT announces a 3.5% distribution increase and strong Q1 2026 results
Financial TimesHyperscale Data reports approximately 687 Bitcoin and ~US$94m combined cash & restricted cash
Irish TimesDepartment of Housing proposes fewer beds in Oliver Bond flats complex, Dublin
Irish TimesCouncil's Oliver Bond plans would have cost up to €700,000 per flat — housing committee told

§ 06Covenant Watch · Companies House8 watched · placeholder

TierCompanyCo. No.StatusAccts overdueInsolvency
AmberTakoradi Gold (International) Ltd02065485activeYesNo
RedACFD Design Ltd07688618dissolvedNoNo

Watchlist is placeholder · partner curation pending.